Hulu Going Public?

In a throwback to dotcom days, Hulu, a company that has not shown that it can make a profit, may be considering an initial public offering.

The New York Times reported today:

Hulu, the rapidly growing hub for online television and movies, aims to go public through an offering that could value the company at more than $2 billion, according to people briefed on the matter.

Outside of the education market, online video has not been demonstrated to be profitable, although many analysts expect that situation to change over time as more people turn to the web and digital downloads for entertainment.

A handful of companies, including Netflix and Apple, have created a bridge from the Internet to the living room, the place where most Americans go to be entertained, but no one has seen any wild success serving video digitally via broadband. Netflix allows unlimited downloads of a fraction of its library through a variety of set top boxes at no additional fee. It’s included with a monthly subscription to their mail-in service. Apple utilizes a pay per use model allowing both rental and purchases.

Both companies are aggressively pursuing the market for digitally delivered video. Apple may even go so far as to begin selling televisions with their Apple TV technology built in. Netflix, on the other hand, is entering into a $1 billion deal to stream movies from Paramount, Lionsgate and MGM through their partnership with Epix, a hybrid cable channel, digital streaming service backed by the three distributors. But..

Netflix doesn’t get to stream its Epix titles until 90 days after they show up on cable.

I am not even going to mention cable and satellite companies. They more than anyone have a vested interest in capitalizing on “on demand” digital services. They are also already inside the living room–the place where people go to be entertained in the home.

Hulu may be seeing the light and by light I mean the need to make a profit. They just recently announced a subscription service for $10 a month.

Online video site Hulu, under pressure from its media company parents to generate a bigger profit, launched a subscription service Tuesday with complete access to back episodes of popular television shows.

YouTube was bought by Google in 2006 for $1.65 billion. It has not turned a profit yet, but analysts expect that they may do so at some point this year based on the advertisements it embeds in the videos on its site, advertisements that users have found to be intrusive and distracting. So, they are not exactly operating on strength.

Currently, YouTube claims the most views per day by a long shot, with around 145 million viewers in June. Hulu sees somewhere between 24 to 44 million per month, but online measurement services like comScore are still trying to figure out how to measure traffic, so the best that can be expected is a ballpark figure.

Apple has demonstrated its ability to convert massive numbers of people to their technology platforms. They’ve done it successfully three different times now in three different markets: music (ipod), wireless (iphone), tablet computing (ipad). While they may or may not be making a profit in books (ibooks) and television/movies (apple tv), they have a solid foot in the door in both markets. Pretty soon, they may also be the only player in the market selling their own TV, a TV that is likely to look, sound and interface better than any other on the market.

While Hulu is one of the top five players in online video, it seems that filing for an I.P.O. may be a little premature and perhaps even a little irresponsible as it is not even clear that they can actually operate profitably. It may even indicate that they are a little desperate for cash as they struggle to match the war chests of two very profitable companies.

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Pac Man Eats Subway: Conceptual or Narrative

Many of the most watched and most innovative videos on the Internet, like “Pixels by Patrick Jean,” seem to be more conceptual than narrative, but narrative is coming along nicely as well. As the New York Times reported yesterday, “Easy to Assemble,” a show sponsored by IKEA about an IKEA employee, brought in 1.5 million views per month, October through February.

There are many ways to catch and keep an audience. Concepts have a more rooted tradition in advertising. Narratives developed in large part via written word, radio and television. The environment you want to reach your audience will determine what type of content you create for the Internet. It’s one piece of an overall strategy that we develop for our clients to ensure the highest rates of audience capture.

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Original Programming Platforms for the Web Draw Million Dollar Investments

Venture Capital firms are infusing nascent Web video distributors with millions of dollars. My Damn Channel (MDC) announced today that they have “closed $4.4 million in Series B financing led by Intuitive Venture Partners, with additional funding from the company’s Series A investors including Okapi Venture Capital and Sunshine Wireless Company. ” MDC joins blip.tv, who on May 19 of this year “closed a $10.1 million third round of VC funding led by Canaan Partners and existing investors Bain Capital Ventures” and last but not least Machinima who closed a “$9 million venture capital investment from Redpoint Ventures June 15.”

Today, the New York Times, reports that the original web show called “Easy to Assemble” drew more than 1.5 million views each month, October through February 2010. The show’s producer, Illeana Douglas, persuaded IKEA to become the sole sponsor the show, in which Ms. Douglas plays an employee of IKEA.

According to the measurement firm comScore, 86 percent of Internet users in the United States now watch at least one online video a month. Some of those shows originate on traditional TV, something that Hulu specializes in; others originate online, and that portion is growing.

Web video companies say that advertisers are starting to make million-dollar commitments — hardly a threat to established television networks, but a big improvement for sites that started out making $5,000 at a time. Commercials in front of professionally produced entertainment videos can command $15 to $35 per thousand views, while banner ads alongside the videos can run $5 to $15 per thousand views.

…The show (“Easy to Assemble”) has attracted an impressive slate of guest stars, including Jeff Goldblum and Patricia Heaton.

The morale of the story is that original programming for the web is growing tremendously right now and will continue to do so for the next few years before it plateaus and the major online distributors establish themselves as players that might one day contend with or be purchased by the likes of NBC, ABC, FOX…or maybe YouTube, who announced their own $5 million dollar grant for independent producers on July 9, 2010.

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Will Smith Has Become Movies’ Most Bankable Star

The Ulmer Scale released its 2010 list of most bankable talent worldwide with Will Smith in the number one spot and Johnny Depp ranking number two.

©Amanda Cogdon

Smith and Depp are the only two actors to place in the A+ range. Last year there were ten actors in the A+ category.

Why does the Ulmer Scale matter? If you are targeting a geographical region, you might consider researching what actors are well known in what international markets by checking out the Ulmer Scale. While the top actors would be very expensive, some of the other actors included in the survey might fall within a reasonable budget…and if your project has viral capabilities, it may offer exposure.

“The heart brings you back.” John Popper (1994)

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Music Industry Reissues are Big Business

©National Public Radio

NPR correspondent, Sam Sanders, reports that reissues are big business. Album sales are down 17% this year and Beyonce’s most recent reissue spiked sales of her newly repackaged music 903%. And by the way, 8/10 of the top albums of the past year have been reissued including Hannah Montana, Eminen, Black Eyed Peas, Beyonce, and Taylor Swift.

We like to call this kind of story “corroborating evidence.” While Inception’s consecutive weeks on top of the box office might help convince you that customers will go see a well-made movie multiple times, the above story demonstrated that audiences are more than willing to pay a premium–two times–when a media product ignites their passion.

“Go the distance.” Phil Alden Robinson 1989

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Reality Television…No really, It was Factual, and then it Wasn’t

News story made into a rap song. Very creative editing of media to original score, evidently condoned by the “performers.”

First watch this:

Then watch this.

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Wired Magazine Adds Short Videos to their Digital Magazine Format

The New York Times reports that Wired Magazine tapped the comic genius of Will Farrell and Photographer, Dan Winters, to entice readers to pay for content through their brand new digital format, available here for the ipad.

Wired – Will Ferrell Short from Nick Bilton on Vimeo.

In the short videos-try a sample on vimeo-Will Farrell tests a ray gun… Need I say more?

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Christopher Nolan “Evolves” his Filmmaking Prowess with Inception

Quoted in the July 30, 2010 edition of Entertainment Weekly, Christopher Nolan, blockbuster director and writer (Batman Begins, The Dark Knight, Memento), affirms one of our most fundamental beliefs about entertainment:

As a filmmaker starting out, there was a resistance to emotion, because you so often see the insincere version of it in movies. Yet over time, and during the Batman movies in particular; I was forced to reexamine my own process of watching a film. What I realized is that what I respond to most is emotion–which is what audiences respond to the most as well.

©Warner Bros.

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